Update: I must be a prophet. Agran did lose and it is clear now that Daigle took votes from him, not from Choi – an epic backfire for Agran!
The conventional wisdom has it that Irvine Mayoral candidate Larry Agran won by convincing Katherine Daigle to run for Mayor this year, instead of running for the City Council. The premise is that Daigle will split the GOP vote and allow Agran to defeat the top Mayoral candidate, Steven Choi.
But is that true? Or could it be that Daigle is going to end up taking votes away from Agran?
Let’s examine the historical record: Continue reading