It is time for another look at last week’s election in central Orange County. The most competitive races will now hunker down and start to covet whatever serious money is left. The “Top Two” format will cost additional thousands in races like AD72 where a Republican (hopefully not a Democrat turned Republican like Troy Edgar) previously would have easily won by spending nothing (Edgar didn’t count on that).
The race that no Blog or the O.C. Register has commented on was the most uncompetitive — Janet Nguyen beat the whacko Steve Rocco by almost 49 points (74.4% <> 25.6%). But wait a minute — ONLY 49 points? A four-year County Supervisor with a Vietnamese surname against a ketchup thief? Shouldn’t the gap have been 90 points? 95? Or even more? Isn’t there a message in this? And from who? The District Hispanics? Or, more likely, those who are tired of the vacuous Nguyen, her lack of a record, her inability to put together a complete sentence, or perhaps her political ineptness in messing with CalOptima?
One-quarter of the Supervisorial District’s voters could not possibly want a nut job like Rocco in office, so the only conclusion that might be drawn from this is that that many people are tired of Nguyen and her nonsense, her discomfort in the Vietnamese community (which seem pretty mutual), her incompetence (as noted in John Moorlach’s regular update emails), her worthless inexperienced unhelpful office staff, the Fountain Valley gerrymandering, her amateurishness on the dais and the way she’s dissed her ex-supporters, ex-staffers and ex-contributors. We don’t recall that she endorsed anyone, helped in any campaigns or made any effort to raise funds for past associates like Matthew Harper.
This was not simply mistaken, uninformed voting; it was a blow by a lot of voters upside Nguyen’s head. This was a very low turnout election — the uninterested and hung over stayed home. About one-quarter of the voters chose to tell Nguyen they were tired of her act, even though they couldn’t push her out. She needs to clearly and honestly understand that she is profoundly disliked and will need to find something else to do to support her husband in four years, or just stay home and raise her baby in private. In fact, she could use that time off to figure out what Party she belongs to. If she takes on Loretta Sanchez in 2014 as is rumored, she’ll get massacred. Her only shot would be if Sanchez were to run for some other office and vacate the seat.
It’s obvious to some who follow OC politics that the only reason Nguyen didn’t have any real Democrat competition last week was that Kindee Durkee STOLE all of Jose Solorio’s campaign money when he should have been paying more attention. If he still had his money, there was no reason that Solorio should not have gone after this Supervisorial seat given the Hispanic concentration in that District and his better name recognition (and then run later for Lou Correa’s State Senate seat). Nguyen got a HUGE break. Solorio should’ve tried anyway, but it’s unlikely he’s smart enough to see the message in her “victory” and he should be kicking himself for the lost opportunity. His career is now likely done, when Nguyen’s might have been done instead.
Nguyen and her few supporters are crowing about her victory over Rocco but the trends show that future victories might be much harder for her to come by…