For those newer Facebook friends who are unfamiliar with myself let me provide a brief overview of my credentials in issuance of Voter guides. This is surely not to pat myself on the back but to express my fiscal and pro-life conservative values, beliefs and my experience vetting candidates. We have lived in Mission Viejo for the past 43 years so I surely know the landscape.
Over the past 20 years I have generated Voter Guides based on personal contacts along with candidate vetting. In that effort I have compared notes with highly respected conservatives to see if they have a different analysis of the candidates and Ballot Measures.
As a former unit president of the Saddleback Republican Assembly we vetted numerous candidates for offices from local City council seats and state seats, to Judicial Offices and the governor of CA. In addition, I served as the Alternate for both Committee member Greg Woodard and Congressman Darrell Issa on the Republican Party of OC Central Committee where I met several of these same candidates.
Folks. This is a very crucial election. I am serious. Watching the lengthy House and Senate effort to impeach our duly elected president will continue unless we can flip the House and keep the small majority we have in the Senate.
The Democrats are livid. Some have openly stated they will continue to impeach POTUS even after he is exonerated next week. Democratic Representatives such as CA Maxine Waters and TX Al Green will lead this effort after POTUS is re-elected in Nov. They will be supported by Intel Comm Chair Adam Schiff and Judiciary Chair Jerrold Nadler. It needs to end now.
Wow. They actually placed Donald J Trump on our CA ballot. Vote Trump for president.
The next category on our Ballot is for members of our Central Committee. Due to the following opinion I will leave it to you to decide whom to support in that contest where you live.
We live in the 73rd AD. In a prior post I said that I will not be voting for any Incumbent due to their failure to utilize a key weapon in the 2018 election called ballot harvesting. Six of the seats flipped by Dems in the 2018 mid-terms were in CA with four based in our back yard. Central Committee chairman Fred Whitaker admitted their failure to utilize that tool while thousands of Ballots were dropped off by Democratic volunteers. In good conscience I cannot reward those same Incumbents for that leadership failure. We elect them to be our eyes and ears and to watch out for us.
My choices for the 73rd Central Committee, as they appear on the ballot, are as follows: Diane Harkey, Jake Vollebregt and Elaine Gennawey. Last three TBD.
Next on the Ballot is US Representative. I will begin my recommendations in northern CA.. Note: We have to deal with “top two” in these contests regardless of political party
CD 01 VOTE for (I) (R) Doug LaMalfa. His challenger Audrey Denny who has a large war chest. They will face off in the General where Doug should win
CD 04 VOTE for my friend (I) (R) Tom McClintock. Tom should easily win the primary and will be challenged by (D) Brynne Kennedy in the General. Brynne raised over $550,000 last year
CD 08 My recommendation is for (R) Jay Obernolte Jay should win the primary and face off against (D) Christine Bubser in the General. This should be a Republican victory. (I) (R) Paul Cook is out this year. He captured 60% of the vote in his last race.
CD 10 I recommend (R) Ted Howze. He will face four Republican challengers in this seat that was flipped in 2018. (I) (D) Josh Harder raised $2.4 mil last year where he captured 52% of the vote
CD 22 VOTE for (I) (R) Devin Nunez. This seat is safe. We owe Devin a huge thank you for standing tall against shifty Schiff in the bogus House Impeachment
CD 23 VOTE for (I) (R) House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. This is the safest Republican seat in CA
CD 25 I recommend (R) Mike Garcia. This seat was flipped in 2018 by Katie Hill who has dropped out .We should easily flip this seat back to the GOP column. Of the 10 candidates seven have zero money in the race (as of Dec 31,2019)
CD 39 VOTE (R) Young Kim. This seat was flipped in 2018 by (D) Gilbert Cisneros (who raised $1 mil in 2019 and has $600,000 left.) Gil captured 51.5% of the vote and can be defeated.
CD 42. VOTE (I) (R) Ken Calvert. This is a safe Republican seat
CD 45. VOTE (R) Don Sedgwick. Full disclosure. I’ve interviewed and endorsed Don. He has the horsepower in funding and boots on the ground to win the Primary and challenge (I) (D) Katie Porter in the General. As of 12-31-2019 she had $2 mil. left in her coffers.
CD 48 VOTE (R) Michelle Steel, 2nd District BOS Member. Michelle has been extremely active in her campaign. She will easily win the primary and face off against (I) (D) Harley Rouda in the General Rouda flipped this seat in 2018. At the end of 2019 she had $1 mil. left in the bank
CD 49. VOTE (R) Brian Maryott. Full disclosure. I recently met with Brian and endorsed his campaign. Some candidates get a break. There is only one Democrat and Brian in the Primary. As such Brian will face off against Mike Levin who flipped this seat in the 2018 mid terms.
State Senate races. Not a pretty picture. The Democrats currently have a “super majority”. Our Legislature contains 40 Senators whose term of office is for four years. Half of these seats are voted on every two years.
This year’s election will be for the 20 odd number Districts plus one “special election” in SD 28 See below. All of these races fall into the “top two” regardless of party. To break their “super majority” Republicans would need to control 17 seats. As reported earlier the Democrats already control 15 of the 20 even numbered Districts.
Of this years 21 Senate races there are six (I) (D) seats on the Ballot in which there are no Republican challengers. Seats of all five retiring Incumbents will remain in the Dem. party. The one Republican Senate seat where the Incumbent is retiring, SD 23, will be a toss up.
SD 23 VOTE for (R) Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh. I believe she will win the Primary and face (D) Kris Goodfellow in the General election. Note: (I) (R) Mike Morrell was termed out in this San Bernardino seat.
SD 29 VOTE (I) (R) Ling Ling Chan. Her major Democratic challenger is the one and only June 2018 recalled Josh Newman. Josh’s vote on AB -1 gave the Democrats their dual “super majority” which increased the taxes on gas and diesel and raised DMV fees. without a public vote.
SD 28 VOTE (R) Melissa Melendez. This is a “special election to replace Jeff Stone who joined the Trump admin in the Dept of Labor
SD 37 VOTE (I) (R) John Moorlach. For full disclosure I’ve endorsed John ever since he ran for OC TTC. He has two Democratic challengers.Dave Min and Katrina Foley.
State Assembly races. All 80 seats are up every two years. As I’ve stated before the Democratic Party has a “super majority” that will not change after this year’s election. A super majority requires holding 54 seats.
There are no Republican challengers in 15 of the 80 seats. Eight Incumbent Assembly members are not on the March ballot. That could be due to Term Limits, seeking higher offices, or simply retiring. Of those eight six are Democrats and two are Republicans.
My focus will be Orange County with a few outside races.
AD 42. Palm Springs. Former Republican Chad Mayes is the Incumbent who voted for “cap and trade.” He captured 55.3% of the 2018 vote and is running as an Independent. At the last minute San Jacinto mayor pro-tem (T) Andrew Kotyuk entered the race. There is one Democrat on the Ballot endorsed by the DNC and Planned Parenthood
AD 65 NO recommendation.
AD 68 VOTE for (I) (R) Steven Choi. Steven should prevail in both the Primary and General election. The second place will be contested however I think (D) Melissa Fox will finish ahead of (R) Benjamin Yu
AD 69 VOTE for (R) Jon Paul White. Jon is the only candidate other than (I) (D) Tom Daly in this Anaheim area District
AD 72. VOTE for (R) Janet Nguyen. The (I)(R) in this Garden Grove District is Tyler Diep who voted for AB -5 opposing independent contractors. There are three Dems in this contest.
AD 73 This strong Republican District will be a Republican Primary toss up. There are three Republicans in this race headed by (I) Bill Brough, Laguna Niguel mayor pro-tem Laurie Davies and Mission Viejo City Councilman Ed Sachs .Recommendation TBD
AD 74 VOTE (R) Diane Dixon. (I) (R) Matt Harper lost this seat to (D) Cottie Petrie-Norris in this Irvine District. My sense is that they will face off in the General. Cottie has a a large war chest and is supported by Planned Parenthood
Board of Supervisors
District 1 VOTE for (I) Andrew Do
District 3 VOTE for (I) Don Wagner
O.C. Board of Education Area 3. VOTE for (I) Dr. Ken Williams, Jr.
Judicial seats. O.C Superior Court. Note: 42 of the 44 races are uncontested
Office #1 VOTE for (I) John S. Adams. Trivia. We, the Saddleback Republican Assembly, vetted and endorsed Judge Adams when he first ran and secured this seat in Nov. 2002
Office #4. VOTE for Tony Ferrentino No challengers The seat that covers our voting area.
Office #22 (I) Sheri L. Honer received several negative comments This is a contested seat. Her challenger is Paul Viriyapantau
Office #28 (I) Sandy L Neal This is a contested seat. Te other candidate is Robert J. Keenaw
We are almost done. Ballot Measures.
Prop 13. Vote NO. “This year’s PROP 13 is a PHONY. Don’t be confused by the deceptive title of this spending measure to be “Prop 13.” Unlike the landmark taxpayer protection of 1978, this year’s Prop 13 instead will put taxpayers on the hook for $27 billion.” – Jon Coupal president, Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association.
In reviewing each City and School District’s Ballot Measures I find 9 Bonds totaling $2.66 Billion dollars. My recommendation is to vote NO as follows:
Meas B in Anaheim, Measure G in Brea, Measures H and I in the Capo USD, Measures J and K in Fullerton, Measure L Santiago CCD, Measure M in the SVUSD, and Measure N in Tustin Unified.
Vote YES on Measure O in the Lowell Joint SD Res 767. This transfers jurisdiction from LA County to O.C. Orange .County currently pays $250,000 for admin. support.
Vote YES on the County Charter Amendment. This Measure “requires a Two-Thirds Vote of the Board of Supervisors to Propose Taxes to Voters for Approval.”.