A new poll of voters in the 69th Assembly District might be the reason that Orange County Labor and the OC GOP machine are trying to squeeze Republican candidate Jose Moreno out of the 69th A.D. primary.
According to the survey memo, “Democrats Tom Daly and Michele Martinez and Republican Moreno lead the pack. Martinez leads all candidates among Latinos and leads Julio Perez, by 16 points. She also leads all candidates in Santa Ana – home to 60% of likely voters. Martinez is also likely to benefit disproportionately from the fact that Democratic women are among the most undecided subgroups in the district initially. And when voters were read profiles of the three major Democrats and a shorter profile of Republican Moreno, Martinez moved into the lead.”
The survey memo also stated that “While Daly’s initial lead is noteworthy, he shows little strength considering he is a countywide elected official and former Anaheim Mayor. Well more than half of voters (57%) district-wide are unfamiliar with Daly, as are nearly half (46%) of voters in his hometown. In fact, his vote in Anaheim is 39%, which is nearly identical to his favorability rating in the city (44%), indicating that he may already have fully capitalized on the easy vote in his geographical base.”
You have to figure that Martinez and perhaps some IEs will come after Daly. He is ripe to be taken down, with millions of dollars wasted during his tenure as O.C. Clerk-Recorder. In fact we will be posting yet another expose about Daly’s ongoing waste of taxpayer funds very soon.
The primary is going to come down to the independent and decline to state voters. Almost half the voters were undecided in the poll, and 29% were still undecided after hearing more about the candidates. Chasing these voters down will be expensive and difficult as campaign mail is not as effective as it used to be, particularly in a district with so many voters who are somewhat transient.
As for Perez, what a loser. This is the second poll to put him at 5%. The guy is totally unknown to the voters and he would have to spend a million dollars to get even close to Martinez’ name I.D., or Daly’s.
Finally, one has to wonder why in the world Francisco Barragan entered this race. I hope he is happy coming in at 1% of the vote.